Coffee Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-02
Step into a 60-bar coffee replay from 2021-11-24 to 2022-02-18 where prices drifted just 0.2% yet endured a 10.8% drawdown. Walk each day, navigate 4 critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review in a simulated, educational setting.
60 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-02 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 86 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.8% and a 15.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −10.8%
- Max run-up
- +15.7%
- Duration
- 86 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.9%
- Bars
- 60 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The coffee market entered a period defined by macroeconomic crosscurrents. From 2021-11-24 to 2022-02-18, traders faced a landscape shaped by a Federal Reserve signaling tighter policy and a strengthening dollar—forces that typically pressure soft commodity prices. This 60-bar replay spans that exact interval, placing participants in a market where directional conviction was hard to establish and the inflation narrative remained unresolved.
The headline number masks the turbulence beneath. Coffee closed the period at 246.85, barely budging from its 246.3 opening—a mere 0.2% gain over roughly three months. Yet during this same span, the market experienced a 10.8% maximum drawdown and individual sessions moved as sharply as 4.9%. Navigating eleven decision points—four of them critical—meant confronting sudden reversals while the net outcome remained flat. The gap between total return and actual trading difficulty defines the challenge.
This scenario trains traders to manage the psychological strain of high volatility without proportional reward. The lesson is not about predicting direction but about process fidelity: maintaining position discipline through drawdowns, sizing appropriately for single-bar moves that exceed typical expectations, and avoiding the trap of overtrading in range-bound conditions. In markets where price drifts sideways while volatility remains elevated, survival depends on psychological resilience as much as analytical skill.
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