Sugar Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-05
Replay 124 daily bars of sugar from November 2021 to May 2022, when soft commodities navigated a 12.7% drawdown amid rising inflation concerns. Work through 21 decision points, including 7 critical ones, with AI coach review on simulated capital only.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.7% and a 14.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.7%
- Max run-up
- +14.5%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.2%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Sugar futures traded during a volatile stretch from November 2021 to May 2022, when soft commodities faced mounting inflation concerns across global markets. This 124-bar replay captures a period when macroeconomic uncertainty was reshaping commodity dynamics, creating a challenging environment for traders navigating unexpected shifts in momentum and risk sentiment.
The closing price moved from 19.99 to 19.17, representing a modest -4.1% decline over the full period. However, this headline figure masks the turbulence within: the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 12.7%, with the largest single-bar move reaching 3.2%. Participants faced 21 decision points, including 7 critical junctures where conviction and risk management were tested under pressure.
This scenario teaches the importance of process over prediction. The gap between headline return and actual drawdown reveals how volatility can punish undisciplined position sizing. Navigating 7 critical decision points demands clear criteria for entry and exit, not intuition. Psychological resilience matters when a position moves 12.7% against you—the distinction between learning and losing lies in predefined rules applied consistently.
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