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2021 Archive Volume

Beijing's policy pivot crushed iron ore 31% while nat gas surged 32% — a 64-trading-day window where commodity markets bifurcated along regulatory fault lines.

9 files in this volume

The year in numbers

498
Replayable scenarios

This year's files

  1. 01February 2021: Commodity Shock Rattles Forex Markets

    Six forex pairs in early 2021 reveal how commodity price volatility reshaped currency valuations across emerging and G10 markets.

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  2. 02November 24, 2021: The Fed's Hawkish Pivot and How Emerging Market Currencies Fractured

    The Fed signaled tighter policy on Nov. 24, 2021, sending the dollar higher across 42 EM currency pairs over 64 trading days.

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  3. 03November 2021: The Rate Shock That Split America's Housing Market

    Rate hikes collided with pandemic-era property gains, splitting US cities into outperformers and laggards across a 30-month housing cycle.

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  4. 04Autumn 2021: Beijing's Commodity Crackdown and the Policy-Shock Era

    Sept–Dec 2021: Beijing's regulatory crackdown reshaped commodity markets, triggering outsized drawdowns across metals, energy, and agriculture.

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  5. 05Spring 2021: The Commodity Supercycle That Punished Discipline and Rewarded Conviction

    When commodity prices surged in early 2021, the real test was not direction but survival through drawdowns that dwarfed the final returns.

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  6. 062021 Q1: The Commodity Shock That Decoupled Headlines from Volatility

    In early 2021, commodities across sectors surged as post-pandemic demand collided with supply disruptions, creating a shock that rewarded direction but punished discipline-free positioning.

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  7. 07May–August 2021: China's Black Series Crackdown and the Great Commodity Divergence

    Beijing's policy pivot crushed iron ore 31% while nat gas surged 32% — a 64-trading-day window where commodity markets bifurcated along regulatory fault lines.

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  8. 08February 2021: When Two Property Markets Began to Diverge

    February 2021 marked a turning point as US pandemic housing booms and China's tightening crackdown set divergent 30-month trajectories through 2023.

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  9. 09June 2021: The Fed's U-Turn and the Housing Market's First Real Test

    When monetary stimulus began unwinding in mid-2021, US residential property faced its first major stress test in years as the Federal Reserve signaled tighter policy ahead.

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