Cocoa Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-02
Replay 60 daily cocoa bars from 2021-11-24 to 2022-02-18 as inflation pressures peaked. Step through each session, tackle 11 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback on your simulated trades.
60 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-02 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 86 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.9% and a 20.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.9%
- Max run-up
- +20.4%
- Duration
- 86 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.7%
- Bars
- 60 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Cocoa futures traded through a pivotal window as 2021 drew to a close and 2022 began, with inflation pressures dominating commodity narratives. The 60 daily bars spanning 2021-11-24 to 2022-02-18 captured a market where input costs were surging globally and the Federal Reserve signaled a hawkish pivot. Participants faced the challenge of navigating a soft commodity caught in the crosscurrents of monetary policy tightening and supply uncertainty.
The period delivered modest net appreciation despite the turbulence: prices closed at 2573 versus an opening near 2456, representing a 4.8% gain. However, the journey was far from linear. The maximum drawdown reached 7.9%, and the largest single-bar move of 4.7% underscored sudden reversals that tested position management. Across these 60 sessions, traders encountered 11 decision points, including 4 critical junctures where directional conviction was essential.
This replay sharpens decision-making by placing you inside the noise. Protecting capital during the 7.9% drawdown phase requires strict risk protocols, while the 4.7% intraday swings demand psychological resilience. Simulating 11 choices—4 of them make-or-break—builds the disciplined process needed when macro forces collide with commodity-specific supply dynamics.
Featured in the archive