RBOB Gasoline Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-05
Replay 124 daily bars of RBOB gasoline from 2021-11-16 to 2022-05-13, when the commodity surged 68.5% amid rising inflation fears. Step through each day, face 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.7% and a 103.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.7%
- Max run-up
- +103.1%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- −12.5%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay opens on November 16, 2021, as RBOB gasoline futures traded near 2.35 in a market shadowed by mounting inflation concerns. The 2020s era had already shown the world that commodity prices could move with extraordinary velocity, and the energy sector sat at the epicenter of macroeconomic uncertainty. Participants enter this 124-day scenario knowing that the Federal Reserve was under pressure to act, oil supplies remained constrained, and demand patterns were shifting as the global economy tried to normalize.
The period tested every assumption about energy markets. Over 124 trading bars, the front-month contract climbed from 2.35 to 3.96, delivering a 68.5% return that would have rewarded early conviction. Yet the path was anything but smooth, with an 18.7% maximum drawdown testing resolve and a single session that moved 12.5%, moments when emotions could easily override discipline. With 21 decision points including 7 critical junctures, the scenario demanded both strategic patience and tactical flexibility in equal measure.
This replay teaches that commodity trading in inflationary environments requires separating signal from noise. The 68.5% gain was real, but the journey through the 18.7% drawdown revealed which participants had robust position sizing and which had over-leveraged. The psychology lesson cuts deep: holding through a 12.5% single-bar decline without panic requires pre-defined rules that are only forged through deliberate practice. By stepping through each of the 21 decision points, trainees learn to ask not "what do I think will happen next" but "what does my process demand right now," a question that separates disciplined operators from reactive ones in any high-volatility market.
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