Natural Gas Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-05
Replay 124 daily bars from the 2021-11 to 2022-05 natural gas surge, when prices climbed 47.9% from 5.18 to 7.66. Step through each decision point day-by-day, face 7 critical choices, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated educational scenario.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 37.1% and a 146.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −37.1%
- Max run-up
- +146.6%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- +46.3%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The natural gas market in late 2021 faced a convergence of supply tightening, seasonal demand pressures, and broader inflation fears that made energy a focal point for traders across global markets. This replay covers 124 daily bars from 2021-11 to 2022-05, placing participants directly into the decision-making crucible of one of the most volatile periods in energy markets during the 2020s. The central challenge: navigate an asset class known for violent swings while inflation concerns reshaped expectations across all commodity sectors.
The price trajectory proved as dramatic as the backdrop suggested. Natural gas climbed 47.9%, moving from 5.18 to 7.66 over the full span. Yet percentage gains obscure the turbulence within—the market experienced a max drawdown of 37.1% and a largest single-bar move of 46.3%, creating conditions where even correct directional calls could be destroyed by timing errors or inadequate risk management. Across these 124 sessions, participants confronted 21 decision points, with 7 representing critical junctures where conviction and positioning discipline were tested most severely.
This replay ultimately trains judgment under structural uncertainty. A 37.1% drawdown tests whether risk parameters reflect conviction or hope. A 46.3% single-session move challenges emotional discipline when positions move against you. The educational value lies not in predicting the next energy surge but in building the systematic processes and psychological resilience needed to survive environments where prices themselves become unreliable narrators of what comes next.
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