Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2020-11 to 2021-05
Replay 122 daily bars of heating oil from November 2020 to May 2021, watching the 61.3% price climb unfold bar by bar. You face 21 decision points, including 7 critical ones, and receive AI coach feedback after each simulated move.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2020-11 to 2021-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.2% and a 66.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.2%
- Max run-up
- +66.9%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- −6.8%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Heating oil sits at the crossroads of energy markets and consumer economics, making it a sensitive barometer for inflation expectations. The replay captures a pivotal window from November 2020 through May 2021, when post-pandemic recovery collided with supply constraints and shifting demand patterns. Participants enter this scenario facing the challenge of navigating a commodity notorious for seasonal volatility while macroeconomic forces rewrote the playbook.
The dataset spans 122 daily bars from 2020-11-17 to 2021-05-13, tracking a sustained climb from 1.24 to 2, representing a 61.3% gain. Yet this ascent was far from linear. A maximum drawdown of 11.2% tested conviction, while the largest single-bar move of 6.8% demanded composure under sudden volatility. Those managing positions through this period faced repeated inflection points where conviction could be rewarded or punished by the same market forces.
The scenario offers rich terrain for decision training across 21 decision points, 7 of them critical junctures. Process discipline matters when a seemingly straightforward uptrend delivers painful interim setbacks. Risk calibration becomes tangible when drawdown numbers replace abstract tolerance percentages. Psychologically, the replay confronts participants with the fundamental tension between patient positioning and the urge to act on every fluctuation. These are the intangible skills that historical replays develop more effectively than any textbook treatment.