WTI Crude Oil Historical Replay: 2020-11 to 2021-05
Replay 122 days of WTI crude oil from November 2020 to May 2021, when prices climbed 54.0% from 41.43 to 63.82. You walk through daily bars, tackle 21 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated educational environment.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2020-11 to 2021-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.6% and a 59.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.6%
- Max run-up
- +59.5%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- −7.1%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay transports you to November 2020, when WTI crude oil futures traded around 41.43 as markets digested post-lockdown recovery dynamics. The macro narrative centered on reflation expectations—vaccine breakthroughs, fiscal stimulus prospects, and pent-up demand fueling commodity speculation. Over 122 daily bars extending to May 2021, participants face 21 decision points (7 deemed critical) that test their ability to navigate a market caught between lingering pandemic uncertainty and economic reopening optimism.
The outcome was a 54.0% rally, with prices climbing to 63.82 by mid-May 2021. Yet the journey was far from linear. The market endured a 12.6% maximum drawdown and weathered single-day swings as large as 7.1%, illustrating how powerful trends can punish careless position sizing or emotional decision-making. Participants who maintained discipline through volatility captured the bulk of gains; those who reacted to short-term noise likely exited prematurely or missed entries during drawdowns.
This scenario excels as a decision-training exercise precisely because it captures the psychological tension of a genuine trending market. The 21 decision points force you to confront entry timing, risk allocation, and the emotional discipline required to hold through a 12.6% pullback. The 7.1% single-bar volatility reminds you that commodity markets can move violently against positions. For educational purposes, the replay demonstrates that process matters more than prediction—having a defined framework for scaling positions and managing drawdowns separates disciplined participants from those who merely hope for favorable outcomes.