Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-05
Replay 124 days of heating oil history from November 2021 to May 2022, watching close climb 61.3% amid surging inflation fears. Walk through 21 decision points day by step, get an AI coach review on each call — simulated capital, purely educational.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 31.8% and a 149.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −31.8%
- Max run-up
- +149.5%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- −22.1%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The final quarter of 2021 found commodity markets under intense pressure as inflation fears swept through global economies. Heating oil, a critical energy input for millions of households, sat at the crossroads of supply constraints and surging demand. This replay spans 124 trading days from November 16, 2021 to May 13, 2022, placing you in the role of a trader navigating one of the most volatile stretches in energy markets during the 2020s.
What unfolded was a dramatic 61.3% climb in heating oil prices from 2.43 to 3.92. Yet the journey was far from smooth — a maximum drawdown of 31.8% tested even the most disciplined strategies, while the largest single-day move of 22.1% demanded steady nerves. Across 21 decision points, with 7 deemed critical, every entry and exit carried consequences for portfolio performance.
This scenario distills essential lessons in managing energy volatility. Participants must reconcile the fundamental case for higher prices against the psychological strain of sharp reversals. The 31.8% drawdown serves as a reminder that even correct directional bets require robust risk controls. Processing information under uncertainty, sizing positions appropriately, and maintaining discipline through extreme daily swings form the core competencies this replay cultivates.
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