RBOB Gasoline Historical Replay: 2020-11 to 2021-05
Replay the 82.6% RBOB gasoline rally across 122 daily bars from late 2020 into 2021. You move through each session, face 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of how your inflation-era trading choices played out, simulated.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2020-11 to 2021-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.6% and a 87.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.6%
- Max run-up
- +87.8%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.8%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The final months of 2020 found commodity traders facing a critical inflection point. RBOB gasoline, the benchmark for US motor fuel futures, sat at 1.15 as pandemic-era demand destruction gradually gave way to recovery expectations. With unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus flooding the global economy, the seeds of an inflationary cycle were taking root. For traders, this period presented a test of conviction—could energy commodities sustain a rally as the world emerged from lockdown restrictions, or would structural headwinds reassert themselves?
What unfolded over the subsequent 122 trading sessions was a decisive answer: RBOB gasoline climbed from 1.15 to 2.1, delivering an 82.6% return that tested risk management discipline at every turn. The journey proved anything but linear—a maximum drawdown of 11.6% reminded participants that even the most compelling trends suffer reversals, while the largest single session move of 5.8% demanded constant position sizing vigilance. Across 21 decision points, including 7 critical junctures, traders who maintained disciplined processes while adapting to shifting sentiment captured the move's full magnitude.
This replay ultimately measures not profitability but decision-making under uncertainty. Managing a volatile commodity requires accepting that drawdowns and sharp reversals are inevitable—the real skill lies in maintaining position integrity through them. Emotional discipline becomes paramount when facing 5.8% swings, ensuring traders don't abandon well-reasoned strategies at the worst moments. The energy market's structural dynamics and seasonal demand patterns add layers of complexity that demand continuous evaluation. Success in such environments hinges on building robust processes that can absorb volatility without breaking.