Orange Juice Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-02
Replay 60 daily bars of frozen concentrated orange juice from 2021-11-24 to 2022-02-18, when the front-month close rose 4.9% to 134.8. Walk through 11 decision points, including 4 critical ones, and get an AI coach review on your calls, simulated capital only.
60 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-02 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 86 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.0% and a 33.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.0%
- Max run-up
- +33.3%
- Duration
- 86 days
- Largest single-day move
- −6.2%
- Bars
- 60 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This scenario replays 60 daily bars of frozen concentrated orange juice futures from November 24, 2021 to February 18, 2022. The period was defined by mounting inflation pressures and a Federal Reserve signaling a more hawkish stance, which strengthened the US dollar and created mixed headwinds for commodity markets. For traders, navigating this environment meant balancing currency-driven pressures against supply-side dynamics specific to soft commodities.
Over the 60 trading sessions, orange juice's front-month close rose 4.9% from 128.45 to 134.8. The path was far from linear, with a maximum drawdown of 18.0% testing the conviction of anyone holding positions. A largest single-bar move of 6.2% demanded quick assessment of whether momentum was shifting or merely experiencing a temporary spike. Participants faced 11 decision points, with 4 critical ones requiring particularly sharp judgment under uncertainty.
This replay sharpens decision training by exposing the psychological toll of drawdowns and volatile single-day swings. Traders learn to manage risk sizing, maintain process discipline when prices move against them, and recognize which moments truly demand action versus patience. The scenario's educational framing uses simulated capital only, allowing participants to develop and refine their methodology without financial consequences.
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