Skip to main content

Coffee Historical Replay: 2021-10 to 2022-01

CommoditiesSoft CommoditiesUSInflation2021-10 to 2022-01Difficulty 4/5FreeView charts

Replay coffee futures across 66 daily bars from October 2021 to January 2022, a window that delivered an 18.7% surge. Step into 12 decision points, navigate 4 critical calls, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.

66K lines
12Decision points
4Difficulty
DailyGranularity

66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2021-10 to 2022-01 · Commodities

Key facts

This window spans 95 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.8% and a 26.4% run-up.

Max drawdown
−10.8%
Max run-up
+26.4%
Duration
95 days
Largest single-day move
−4.9%
Bars
66 Daily bars
Decision points
12

Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology

How to play
  1. The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.

  2. At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.

  3. After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.

Event Replay

What happened — and what it teaches

The scenario places you in the volatile world of coffee futures during the final months of 2021. The period from October 7, 2021 to January 10, 2022 unfolded against a backdrop of accelerating inflation and a Federal Reserve signaling a hawkish pivot. You will navigate 12 decision points, including 4 critical calls, across 66 daily bars of authentic price action. The central question is whether you can manage risk and capture directional opportunity in one of the most operationally challenging soft commodity markets.

The market delivered an 18.7% surge as coffee moved from 197.9 to 234.9 over the data span. However, this upward trajectory was far from linear—the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 10.8%, and traders had to contend with the largest single-bar move of 4.9%. These fluctuations tested every participant's ability to stay disciplined through volatility rather than react emotionally to intraday noise.

This replay is designed as a decision-training exercise, not a prediction contest. The key lessons center on three pillars: process discipline in executing a trading plan despite uncertainty, risk management through position sizing and drawdown tolerance, and psychological resilience when facing adverse moves. By replaying this historically significant period, you can refine how you think about uncertainty, build confidence in your decision-making framework, and develop the emotional equilibrium essential for navigating live markets.