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Coke Historical Replay: 2023-11 to 2024-05

CommoditiesFerrousUSWar2023-11 to 2024-05Difficulty 4/5FreeView charts

Replay a 116-day ferrous market window where prices fell 18.1% from 2668 amid geopolitical tensions. You walk through each session, face 20 decision points including 7 critical ones, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated training environment.

116K lines
20Decision points
4Difficulty
DailyGranularity

116 daily bars · 20 decision points · 2023-11 to 2024-05 · Commodities

Key facts

This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 28.4% and a 23.4% run-up.

Max drawdown
−28.4%
Max run-up
+23.4%
Duration
177 days
Largest single-day move
−4.5%
Bars
116 Daily bars
Decision points
20

Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology

How to play
  1. The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.

  2. At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.

  3. After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.

Event Replay

What happened — and what it teaches

The ferrous market faced a turbulent stretch from November 20, 2023, through May 15, 2024, a 116-day window set within the historically charged atmosphere of the 2020s. Coking coal prices opened at 2668 as Red Sea geopolitical tensions began to cast long shadows across commodity supply chains. For market participants, the stakes were considerable: shifting freight routes, uncertain demand signals, and a volatile macro backdrop demanded both conviction and caution in equal measure.

The 116 sessions that followed delivered a grinding decline, with prices ultimately settling at 2185.5, a retreat of 18.1%. Yet the headline figure understates the journey: maximum drawdown reached 28.4%, and the largest single-bar move hit 4.5%, underscoring how violent interim swings can test a trader's nerve even when the final percentage looks moderate. Embedded within this trajectory were 20 decision points, of which 7 represented critical inflection moments where directional calls could swing outcomes dramatically.

This replay isolates the hard lessons of trading under geopolitical uncertainty. Participants confront not merely price direction but the psychological burden of large drawdowns and sudden spikes, training themselves to separate signal from noise. The 28.4% peak-to-trough erosion reminds us that volatility is not a risk metric to be dismissed, while the 7 critical junctures teach that conviction without process is merely speculation. The goal is disciplined navigation, not prediction.