Iron Ore Historical Replay: 2014-10 to 2015-04
Replay the 2014–2015 iron ore collapse across 114 daily bars as the price slid from 575 to 378, a 34.3% drawdown. You step through each session, face 20 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated educational environment.
114 daily bars · 20 decision points · 2014-10 to 2015-04 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 170 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 34.3% and a 11.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −34.3%
- Max run-up
- +11.6%
- Duration
- 170 days
- Largest single-day move
- −7.8%
- Bars
- 114 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 20
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scenario places you in the iron ore market as it entered a severe downturn. By late 2014, commodity prices were under pressure from slowing Chinese demand and rising supply. This replay spans 114 daily bars from 2014-10-21 to 2015-04-09, placing you inside one of the decade's most aggressive ferrous metal collapses.
What unfolded was a sustained price decline. Iron ore fell from 575 to 378, representing a drawdown of 34.3%. The market did not fall in a straight line—volatility was evident, with the largest single-day move reaching 7.8%. Participants faced 20 decision points, including 7 critical moments where positioning could mean the difference between preservation and significant loss. The brutal math of a sustained downtrend tested every aspect of market participation.
This replay is a powerful training ground for several key skills. First, it forces honest engagement with drawdown—34.3% losses are not abstract when you are navigating them bar by bar. Second, it reveals how volatility clusters create both danger and opportunity, as a 7.8% single-bar move can either stop out positions or offer mean-reversion setups. Third, it demands disciplined risk management under pressure, as an extended bear market erodes capital quickly. The psychological dimension is equally important: sustaining focus and process discipline when every bar reinforces the negative trend separates skilled practitioners from those who panic-exit or overstay fatally. This scenario sharpens both the analytical toolkit and the emotional resilience needed to execute a sound plan through adverse conditions.