Coke Historical Replay: 2014-10 to 2015-04
Replay the 2014 coking coal selloff across 114 daily bars, watching prices fall 16.1% from 1081 to 907. You step through each session, face 7 critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review—simulated capital, purely educational.
114 daily bars · 20 decision points · 2014-10 to 2015-04 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 170 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.3% and a 6.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.3%
- Max run-up
- +6.4%
- Duration
- 170 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.8%
- Bars
- 114 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 20
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay places you in the coking coal futures market during the final months of 2014, a period when global commodity markets faced mounting headwinds from slowing Chinese demand and swelling inventories. Across 114 daily bars spanning October 21, 2014 to April 9, 2015, you must navigate what would become the opening chapter of a prolonged raw materials downturn. The stakes are clear: recognizing deteriorating fundamentals early enough to adjust exposure while avoiding the twin traps of premature liquidation and stubborn averaging-down.
The price trajectory tells the story starkly—a sustained decline from 1081 to 907 representing a 16.1% loss, punctuated by a maximum drawdown of 18.3% and a largest single-bar move of 4.8%. Twenty decision points dot this historical journey, with seven flagged as critical junctures where directional conviction and position sizing became paramount. Each session forces a choice: hold, reduce, or exit, with the compounding effects of repeated small losses proving as dangerous as any single catastrophic event.
This replay sharpens three essential skills: disciplined position management under sustained pressure, the humility to distinguish a declining market from a temporary pullback, and the psychological resilience to act decisively when consensus remains split. The 2010s commodity collapse offers no easy heroes—only those who respected risk limits and maintained clear process survived the volatility with capital intact for the eventual recovery.