Cocoa Historical Replay: 2024-02 to 2024-05
Cocoa prices surged 58.4% from February to May 2024 in a dramatic commodity shock. Replay each trading day, face 11 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback on your simulated choices.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2024-02 to 2024-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 28.6% and a 119.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −28.6%
- Max run-up
- +119.6%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- +9.8%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Cocoa, a cornerstone of the global soft commodities market, entered early 2024 in a precarious state. The February-to-May period presented traders with a defining challenge: a supply shock that would test conviction, discipline, and risk management. With 62 trading days stretching from February 7 to May 6, participants faced a market where the rules of normal price discovery had been fundamentally disrupted.
The numbers tell a stark story. Cocoa surged 58.4%, climbing from 5410 to 8571 in just four months—a move that demanded conviction from anyone holding positions. Yet the path was anything but smooth: a maximum drawdown of 28.6% tested emotional resolve, while a single session saw a 9.8% swing, the kind of volatility that separates disciplined traders from impulsive ones. Across this period, 11 decision points emerged, with 4 marked as critical moments requiring careful navigation.
This replay teaches that process matters more than outcome. A trader could have held through the entire rally yet still suffered if position sizing or risk controls failed under stress. The psychological dimension is equally critical: extreme volatility demands constant recalibration between staying power and survivability. By replaying each trading day, learners develop the reflexes and judgment needed when markets move beyond normal parameters.
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