Orange Juice Historical Replay: 2024-03 to 2024-06
Orange juice surged 21.6% from March to June 2024 as Brazilian supply shocks rippled through soft commodities. Replay 66 daily bars, navigate 12 decision points including 4 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2024-03 to 2024-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 96 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 15.9% and a 36.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −15.9%
- Max run-up
- +36.9%
- Duration
- 96 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.9%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the spring of 2024, orange juice futures became a case study in how supply shocks reverberate through soft commodity markets. Brazilian weather concerns threatened to disrupt the flow of the world's largest orange producer, casting uncertainty over global juice supplies. Traders and analysts watched daily price action carefully, knowing that any confirmed disruption could move markets sharply in either direction.
Over the 66 trading days from March 21 to June 25, 2024, orange juice climbed from 358.4 to 435.65, a gain of 21.6%. The journey was anything but straight: a maximum drawdown of 15.9% tested anyone holding long positions, while the largest single-bar move of 4.9% showed how quickly sentiment could shift on news headlines. Participants faced 12 decision points, with 4 critical junctures demanding clear-headed judgment under pressure.
This replay teaches that commodity shocks combine fundamental conviction with disciplined risk management. The 15.9% drawdown reminds us that even correct directional calls require capital reserves to survive intermediate reversals. The 4.9% single-bar volatility tests whether traders will react emotionally or stick to process. Successfully navigating this scenario means defining entry and exit rules before market noise overwhelms rational analysis, and accepting that volatility itself is often the lesson these historical episodes are designed to teach.