Cocoa Historical Replay: 2023-11 to 2024-05
Cocoa prices surged 150.7% from 3939 to 9874 between November 2023 and May 2024, a historic commodity shock. Replay each of the 122 daily bars, navigate 21 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated educational environment.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2023-11 to 2024-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 28.6% and a 201.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −28.6%
- Max run-up
- +201.5%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +11.9%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Cocoa futures traded in the US soft commodities complex faced an extraordinary test from November 2023 through May 2024. Over 122 daily bars, participants navigated a historic supply shock driven by West African crop failures and Red Sea shipping disruptions. The market had not witnessed such concentrated volatility in this soft commodity in recent decades, as supply chain stress collided with confectionery demand ahead of seasonal cycles.
The closing price climbed from 3939 to 9874, a surge of 150.7% that dwarfed typical commodity moves. Yet the path was not linear: the market endured a maximum drawdown of 28.6% and weathered single-bar moves as large as 11.9%, creating false exits and reentries that punished emotional decision-making. Those who held through volatility captured historic gains, while reactive traders faced whipsaw losses.
This replay trains traders to manage positions through extreme but real historical conditions. Participants confront 21 decision points, including 7 critical junctures where conviction and risk management diverged. The scenario sharpens awareness that large percentage moves occur within drawdowns, demanding disciplined process over gut instinct. Navigating 2020s commodity shocks requires both fundamental reading and psychological resilience when markets move 150.7% in six months. The educational value lies in experiencing drawdown psychology firsthand rather than merely studying charts after the fact.
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