Coffee Historical Replay: 2018-11 to 2019-05
Coffee futures slid 21.7% from 112.65 to 88.25 across 122 trading days ending May 2019, a steep drawdown shaped by a softer dollar. Replay each session day by day, navigate 21 policy-driven decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated trades.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2018-11 to 2019-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 180 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 23.1% and a 13.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −23.1%
- Max run-up
- +13.2%
- Duration
- 180 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.9%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Coffee futures entered a turbulent stretch as monetary policy signals reshaped the dollar and commodities landscape. The 2018-11 to 2019-05 window placed traders inside a period where Federal Reserve messaging and currency weakness became the dominant narrative for soft commodities. Navigating this environment meant confronting a macro backdrop that could turn positions sour rapidly, testing both analysis and conviction.
The numbers tell a stark story. Across 122 trading days, coffee slid from 112.65 to 88.25, a decline of -21.7%. The maximum drawdown reached 23.1%, meaning a position entered early would have been underwater for most of the replay. The largest single-bar move of 6.9% served as a reminder that sharp reversals can strike without warning. Traders faced 21 decision points, of which 7 were deemed critical moments demanding clear-eyed entries or exits.
This replay distills lessons in process, risk, and psychology. A -21.7% drift erodes capital slowly but surely, reinforcing the need for sizing discipline and defined loss thresholds. The 6.9% single-session spike tests emotional control; reacting blindly can lock in losses that a calm assessment would avoid. The 7 critical junctures underscore that not every moment carries equal weight—recognizing which data points genuinely shift the thesis separates disciplined traders from reactive ones. Practicing under these conditions builds the habit of calibrated decision-making when real capital is at stake.
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