Coffee Historical Replay: 2018-02 to 2018-08
From 121.4 to 105.05, coffee fell 13.5% across 128 daily bars spanning February to August 2018. Replay each session, navigate 22 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated training environment.
128 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2018-02 to 2018-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 183 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 15.4% and a 9.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −15.4%
- Max run-up
- +9.6%
- Duration
- 183 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.5%
- Bars
- 128 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2018, the US soft commodities market faced a challenging environment as coffee futures navigated policy uncertainty and currency fluctuations. The data span covers 2018-02-12 to 2018-08-14, totaling 128 daily bars across the 2010s decade. This period presented traders with sustained downward pressure, requiring careful position management and disciplined decision-making amid shifting market sentiment.
Coffee prices fell from 121.4 to 105.05, a decline of -13.5%. The max drawdown reached 15.4%, while the largest single-bar move was 5.5%. Throughout this 128-day period, participants encountered 22 decision points, with 8 deemed critical. These numbers define the replay landscape: an extended downtrend punctuated by sharp intraday reversals that tested both conviction and caution.
This replay trains traders to manage risk during prolonged adverse moves. The 15.4% max drawdown forces honest assessment of position sizing and loss tolerance. The 5.5% single-bar volatility demands emotional control when large swings arrive unexpectedly. With 22 decision points and 8 critical moments, the scenario develops process discipline under pressure—staying systematic when portfolios are underwater and recognizing when market structure has genuinely shifted versus temporary noise.