2018 Archive Volume
Copper crashed 16.1%, cocoa 20.3%, coffee 19.9% as US-China trade tensions and EM currency crises reshaped global commodity markets across summer 2018.
9 files in this volume
The year in numbers
- 776
- Replayable scenarios
This year's files
- 01August–November 2018: How Turkey and Argentina Shook the World's Currencies
The 2018 Turkish lira and Argentine peso collapses triggered a cascade through emerging-market FX, with max drawdowns ranging from 1.2% on USD/CNY to 23.0% on EUR/TRY across 66 trading days.
Read the file → - 022018-02 to 2018-08: Policy Uncertainty and the Dollar Surge Reshape Global Commodity Markets
Six months of policy-driven commodity turbulence as USD strength and trade uncertainty created divergent outcomes across ferrous metals, energy, and agricultural markets.
Read the file → - 03October 2018: The Commodity Rout That Followed Peak Oil
Energy markets peaked in October 2018 then entered a sustained correction as demand fears, supply glut, and a Federal Reserve pivot reshaped commodity valuations across 32 scenarios.
Read the file → - 04March 2018: The Fed's Rate Hike Cycle and Global Property Markets Under Pressure
The Federal Reserve's March 2018 rate-hike launch tested US and China property markets over 30 months—some cities absorbed rising rates, others buckled.
Read the file → - 052018 Spring: The Turkish Lira Crisis and EM Currency Contagion
How a diplomatic spat between Turkey and the US triggered a cascading EM currency crisis across four continents in 66 trading days.
Read the file → - 06Summer 2018: The Commodity Crash — Base Metals, Trade War, and the Emerging Market Stress Test
Copper crashed 16.1%, cocoa 20.3%, coffee 19.9% as US-China trade tensions and EM currency crises reshaped global commodity markets across summer 2018.
Read the file → - 07Summer 2018: Trade War and EM Currency Crisis Collide Across 76 FX Replays
Trade-war depreciation of the yuan and the Turkey-Argentina crisis tested global FX in summer 2018 across 76 currency-pair scenarios.
Read the file → - 082018–2021: The Great Property Divergence — US Resilience vs. Chinese Urban Cooling
Two property universes, one pandemic. US markets climbed while Chinese cities collapsed — a divergence rooted in policy, leverage, and information asymmetry.
Read the file → - 09October 23, 2018: USD/CNY Enters the Trade-War Vortex, Reshaping Emerging-Market Forex
When USD/CNY broke key levels in late 2018, trade-war fears and a Fed pivot sent EM currencies into a four-month tailspin across 104 market slices.
Read the file →