Cotton Historical Replay: 2024-11 to 2025-02
Replay the cotton market from Nov 22, 2024 to Feb 24, 2025 as prices slid from 71.65 to 66.51, a 7.2 percent decline marked by a 10.8 percent drawdown. Walk through 62 daily bars and 11 decision points to practice policy-era judgment with AI coach feedback, simulated capital only.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2024-11 to 2025-02 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 94 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.8% and a 2.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −10.8%
- Max run-up
- +2.9%
- Duration
- 94 days
- Largest single-day move
- −2.2%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Cotton futures entered a charged policy environment following the November 2024 presidential election, setting the stage for a volatile few months ahead. The soft commodity market faced headwinds from a strengthening dollar and lingering uncertainty around agricultural trade policies that could reshape global cotton flows. This period represented a real test of how traders navigate macro-driven volatility in an already uncertain sector.
From November 22, 2024 to February 24, 2025, cotton prices declined from 71.65 to 66.51, a -7.2% move over 62 daily bars. The market carved out a 10.8% maximum drawdown during this stretch, with the largest single-bar move hitting 2.2%. Across the period, 11 decision points emerged—4 deemed critical—challenging traders to act decisively as trends unfolded rather than waiting for perfect clarity.
This replay sharpens the ability to manage risk under sustained pressure. A -7.2% decline is manageable with proper sizing, but the 10.8% drawdown tests whether a trader can endure temporary losses without abandoning a sound process. The 11 decision points demand continuous reassessment: Is the trend still valid? Has the risk-reward shifted? Psychology matters here—staying disciplined when prices drift lower is harder than it sounds. Use this scenario to practice-calibrated entries, stop discipline, and emotional equilibrium in a policy-driven environment.
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