Cocoa Historical Replay: 2024-11 to 2025-05
Replay 122 daily bars of cocoa from November 2024 to May 2025, watching price climb 18.2% amid tariff and dollar volatility. Step through 21 decision points in a simulated, educational environment and receive an AI coach review of your choices.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2024-11 to 2025-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 179 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 38.5% and a 50.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −38.5%
- Max run-up
- +50.7%
- Duration
- 179 days
- Largest single-day move
- +13.7%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay opens in November 2024 as cocoa traders faced a complex backdrop of shifting trade policy and currency swings. Over the following six months, tariff announcements and dollar fluctuations created an unpredictable environment for soft commodity markets. Participants must navigate this terrain across 122 daily bars, with 21 decision points punctuating the journey — seven of them critical inflection moments that demand clear reasoning under pressure.
Cocoa prices ultimately climbed from 8607 to 10171, delivering an 18.2% return for the period. Yet this headline figure conceals considerable turbulence: the market endured a maximum drawdown of 38.5% and experienced a largest single-bar move of 13.7%. These swings tested both directional conviction and risk management discipline, as positions could have been wiped out or significantly impaired during adverse stretches.
For decision training, this scenario excels at exposing the gap between strategy and execution. The 38.5% drawdown teaches that surviving volatility requires pre-defined position sizing and exit rules before entry. The 13.7% single-bar moves remind traders that news-driven markets can gap against you overnight. The seven critical decision points serve as replayable laboratories for testing how well your process holds when certainty dissolves — the true measure of preparation is not predicting the move but knowing your response when it arrives.
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