Orange Juice Historical Replay: 2024-02 to 2024-05
Replay 62 daily bars of orange juice from 2024-02-07 to 2024-05-06, capturing an 11.0% max drawdown and 4 critical decision points. Step through each authentic trading day, face the 11 decision moments, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2024-02 to 2024-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.0% and a 13.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.0%
- Max run-up
- +13.1%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.6%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The orange juice futures market from February to May 2024 presented traders with a complex soft commodity challenge. Brazilian drought concerns dominated supply expectations, creating an environment where weather patterns and crop reports could trigger sharp price reactions. This 62-day replay, spanning 2024-02-07 to 2024-05-06, placed participants directly into the daily decision flow of an agricultural commodity facing genuine supply uncertainty.
The market delivered a net decline of -1.1%, closing at 386.75 from an opening of 390.95, yet the journey proved far more eventful than the modest headline figure suggests. The period featured an 11.0% maximum drawdown and a largest single-bar move of 5.6%, illustrating how commodity prices can swing dramatically even within a relatively contained trend. Participants faced 11 decision points across the replay, with 4 designated as critical moments where directional conviction was most severely tested.
This scenario offers decision training that transcends simple price prediction. Participants learn to manage positions through volatility-induced drawdowns, decide when to act during single-day extremes, and maintain discipline when supply expectations shift without clear resolution. The orange juice market of the 2020s exemplifies how unpredictable weather events can create sustained uncertainty, making disciplined process and emotional regulation essential for navigating complex commodity environments.
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