Cotton Historical Replay: 2024-02 to 2024-05
Cotton slid from 88.47 to 76.56 over 62 daily bars into May 2024, a 13.5% decline capped by a 27.3% drawdown. Replay each session, tackle 11 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in this simulated commodity training exercise.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2024-02 to 2024-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 27.3% and a 16.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −27.3%
- Max run-up
- +16.5%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.3%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2024, cotton futures on the BR market entered a volatile stretch that would test every trader navigating the soft commodities sector. Spanning 62 daily bars from February 7 to May 6, this historical replay places participants in the shoes of those who faced a market under pressure during the 2020s commodity cycle. With Brazil's agricultural output shifting and global demand signals mixed, the stakes were clear: preserve capital while others panicked, or stay disciplined as the trend unfolded.
The numbers tell a story of sustained weakness. Cotton slid from 88.47 to 76.56, recording a 13.5% decline that was accompanied by a 27.3% maximum drawdown—meaning peak-to-trough losses far exceeded the closing change. The largest single daily move of 4.3% added sudden spikes of uncertainty, while 11 decision points, four of them critical, demanded clear judgment under pressure. Those who mistimed entries or ignored risk management felt the full bite of the drawdown before the period closed.
This replay teaches that process matters more than prediction. In a declining commodity market, the 27.3% drawdown number is more instructive than the headline 13.5% loss—it shows what actually happened to capital during the journey. The 4.3% single-bar moves illustrate how sudden volatility can shatter poorly constructed positions. Participants learn to separate analysis from emotion, to set predefined exits, and to treat critical decision points as moments requiring discipline rather than intuition. The goal is not to forecast cotton's bottom but to build the habits that keep a trader solvent through any market condition.
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