Wheat Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-05
Replay 124 daily bars of the 2021–2022 wheat surge as close climbs 44.1% from 810.25 to 1167.25. Walk through every session, face 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 30.9% and a 92.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −30.9%
- Max run-up
- +92.2%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- +21.8%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay immerses traders in the US wheat market during a period of acute commodity inflation, spanning 2021-11-16 to 2022-05-13. Global supply chain disruptions, geopolitical flashpoints, and surging post-pandemic demand created a perfect storm for grain prices. Participants must navigate 124 daily bars with 21 decision points, including 7 critical junctures that could shift outcomes dramatically.
Over this stretch, wheat climbed from 810.25 to 1167.25, delivering a 44.1% return for directional participants. Yet the headline number conceals a harrowing journey: a max drawdown of 30.9% tested conviction, and a largest single-bar move of 21.8% demanded nerves of steel. Trend followers faced whipsaws, while countertrend players risked being run over during momentum surges.
The scenario exposes how process discipline separates surviving traders from those eroded by volatility. Position sizing becomes existential when 21.8% single-bar moves can vaporize assumptions. The 30.9% drawdown reveals whether risk models account for prolonged adversity. Psychologically, the 7 critical decision points strip away analysis paralysis, forcing real-time commitment under uncertainty. This replay trains traders to execute plans mechanically when emotions scream otherwise, making it a rigorous test of the decision-making framework under pressure.
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