Soybean Meal Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-05
Replay 124 daily bars of soybean meal from November 2021 to May 2022, when inflation fears drove a 23.5% peak drawdown. Step through each session, face 7 critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 23.5% and a 50.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −23.5%
- Max run-up
- +50.1%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- −12.3%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
November 2021 found commodity markets under unusual strain as inflationary pressures swept across the global economy. Soybean meal, a key protein input for livestock feed, was caught in this crosscurrent of rising input costs and uncertain demand. The period through May 2022 would test the assumptions of anyone managing exposure to agricultural commodities, forcing them to reconcile record cost pressures with demand destruction risks that signaled stagflation rather than growth. The 2020s were already proving that traditional inflation playbooks written in earlier decades offered incomplete guidance for this environment.
The replay spans 124 daily bars from November 16, 2021 to May 13, 2022. Soybean meal closed the period at 406.4 from an opening of 367.5, a net gain of 10.6%. Yet this headline figure obscures the turbulence within: a maximum drawdown of 23.5% tested positions severely, while the largest single-bar move of 12.3% demonstrated how quickly sentiment could shift on supply news or macroeconomic data. Participants faced 21 decision points across these five months, with 7 critical moments demanding the clearest thinking under pressure.
This scenario excels as a training ground because it separates outcome from process. A net positive close masked volatility that destroyed unprepared portfolios. Traders must develop discipline to manage risk when drawdowns reach 23.5% without abandoning sound methodology, while remaining alert to the 12.3% moves that can either signal opportunity or catastrophe depending on position sizing. The 7 critical decision points cultivate the psychological resilience needed to execute under the cognitive strain of inflationary uncertainty, where economic signals frequently conflict.
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