Soybean Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-05
Replay 124 trading days of soybeans from November 2021 to May 2022 as a 37.7% rally unfolds. Step through daily price action, navigate 7 critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated commodity choices.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.9% and a 43.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.9%
- Max run-up
- +43.6%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.3%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The soybean futures market entered November 2021 against a backdrop of mounting inflationary pressures that would define the early 2020s commodity landscape. This replay spans 124 trading days from November 16, 2021 to May 13, 2022, placing participants directly into a market where supply chain disruptions, weather uncertainties, and shifting global demand converged to create an environment of heightened volatility. Traders faced the challenge of positioning themselves amid escalating inflation concerns that were reshaping the entire agricultural sector.
The market delivered a substantial move, with soybean prices advancing from 1251.25 to 1723.25, representing a 37.7% gain. However, this trajectory was anything but linear—a maximum drawdown of 7.9% tested risk management discipline, while the largest single-bar move of 4.3% demanded composure under pressure. Participants navigated 21 decision points throughout the period, with 7 serving as critical junctures where directional conviction and sizing decisions could have dramatically altered outcomes.
This scenario distills essential lessons in decision-making under uncertainty. Maintaining a clear process when volatility strikes matters more than predicting direction. Respecting risk parameters even during strong trending moves protects capital for future opportunities. The psychological dimension—staying objective when prices swing 4.3% in a single session—often determines whether a trader captures or surrenders gains. For those training in historical market replay, this episode illustrates that superior outcomes emerge from disciplined navigation of critical points rather than flawless foresight.
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