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Coke Historical Replay: 2018-05 to 2018-08

CommoditiesFerrousCNCrash2018-05 to 2018-08Difficulty 4/5FreeView charts

Relive a volatile 2018 ferrous stretch as coke rallied 24.9% over 62 daily bars before an 8.9% drawdown. Replay each session, tackle 11 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated training environment.

62K lines
11Decision points
4Difficulty
DailyGranularity

62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-05 to 2018-08 · Commodities

Key facts

This window spans 88 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.9% and a 27.4% run-up.

Max drawdown
−8.9%
Max run-up
+27.4%
Duration
88 days
Largest single-day move
−5.0%
Bars
62 Daily bars
Decision points
11

Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology

How to play
  1. The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.

  2. At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.

  3. After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.

Event Replay

What happened — and what it teaches

In the spring of 2018, China's ferrous complex entered a period of pronounced volatility. Coking coal, a critical input for steelmaking, became the focal point of intense market swings as supply-demand dynamics shifted and sentiment oscillated. For traders and analysts, this three-month stretch presented a complex puzzle: how to navigate rapid price movements while managing the psychological pressures of an unpredictable market environment.

From May 10 to August 6, 2018, coke futures traversed 62 daily bars in a journey marked by both opportunity and peril. The contract ascended from 1999 to 2497, delivering a 24.9% gain—yet this headline figure obscures the turbulence beneath. An 8.9% max drawdown tested portfolios, while a 5.0% single-bar move underscored the speed at which prices could pivot. Eleven decision points, four of them critical, demanded participants choose sides at inflection moments that history would vindicate or rebuke.

This replay is a laboratory for disciplined decision-making under uncertainty. The 8.9% drawdown demonstrates how a profitable trend can still wound: participants must practice position sizing and stop-loss discipline to survive adverse stretches. The 5.0% intrabar spikes probe emotional resilience—can you hold conviction when volatility spikes unexpectedly? The lesson crystallizes: surviving volatile markets requires not only directional insight but a repeatable process, strict risk controls, and self-awareness of one's psychological thresholds.