Natural Gas Historical Replay: 2021-11 to 2022-02
Replay 60 daily bars of natural gas from 2021-11-24 to 2022-02-18, a period that saw a 37.1% maximum drawdown. You will work through 11 decision points, including 4 critical ones, with an AI coach reviewing each simulated educational choice.
60 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-11 to 2022-02 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 86 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 37.1% and a 75.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −37.1%
- Max run-up
- +75.8%
- Duration
- 86 days
- Largest single-day move
- +46.3%
- Bars
- 60 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The natural gas market entered a volatile stretch as energy inflation dominated headlines. From November 24, 2021 through February 18, 2022, this 60-day replay captures a period when supply anxieties and shifting monetary expectations created whipsaw conditions. Participants face 11 decision points, including 4 critical moments where directional conviction was tested against rapidly changing momentum.
The price trajectory told a brutal story of intraperiod stress. Opening near 5.07 and closing at 4.43 represented a 12.6% decline, yet the true test lay beneath the surface—a maximum drawdown of 37.1% measured the depth of capitulation between entries and exits. Perhaps most striking, a single trading bar moved as much as 46.3%, underscoring how quickly assumptions about stability can evaporate in commodity markets.
For decision training, this replay exposes the gap between directional conviction and risk management discipline. Spotting a trend and surviving one are distinct challenges—managing a 37.1% peak-to-trough decline tests both portfolio construction and emotional composure. The 46.3% single-bar volatility reminds practitioners that position sizing must account for tail moves, not just average ranges. Four critical decision nodes force participants to articulate entry logic, stop-loss philosophy, and position scaling under pressure. The replay ultimately teaches that surviving volatile energy markets requires separating the process of analysis from the psychology of loss.
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