Coffee Historical Replay: 2024-03 to 2024-06
A 24.5% rally in coffee across 66 daily bars from March to June 2024 meets a 19.7% drawdown along the way. Replay this historical commodity shock day by day, face 12 decision points including 4 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2024-03 to 2024-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 96 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 19.7% and a 34.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −19.7%
- Max run-up
- +34.1%
- Duration
- 96 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.8%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scene places you in the soft commodities market during the first half of 2024, tracking coffee futures across 66 daily bars. Weather disruptions in major producing regions created supply uncertainty, setting the stage for a significant price shock. You will face 12 decision points, including 4 critical moments where your choices could substantially alter your outcome. This is a test of how well you execute process under pressure in an unfamiliar historical context.
The replay covers the period from 2024-03-21 to 2024-06-25. Coffee prices rose from 185.7 to 231.2, delivering a 24.5% return. Yet this headline number masks a turbulent journey—the market endured a 19.7% maximum drawdown along the way. The largest single-bar move of 5.8% would have challenged even disciplined traders' conviction and risk management. You cannot predict the future, but you can control how you respond to it.
This scenario sharpens your ability to manage positions through volatile swings, honoring your process when drawdowns test your psychology. The 19.7% peak-to-trough decline reminds us that large moves are survivable with proper sizing and emotional discipline. Four critical decision points demand clear thinking: will you exit too early, hold through volatility, or adjust with discipline? The goal is not hindsight perfection but building a repeatable framework you can trust when the next unexpected shock arrives.