New York Historical Replay: 2018-12 to 2021-05
Replay 30 monthly bars of New York property history from 2018-12 to 2021-05, navigating a 0.4% max drawdown and six decision points. You face each pivot day by day, then receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices for educational insight.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2018-12 to 2021-05 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.4% with a 18.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.4%
- Max run-up
- +18.9%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
New York property in late 2018 stood at a crossroads between a maturing decade-long recovery and an uncertain pandemic era. Replaying 30 monthly bars through May 2021, you confront a market that had already climbed substantially, with six decision points embedded in the data. The central tension is whether to treat the COVID shock of early 2020 as a crisis to flee or an opportunity to maintain conviction—a question that only becomes clear in hindsight.
What unfolded was a remarkably contained disruption. From a starting close of 201.18, the market ultimately reached 238.09, delivering an 18.3% return over the full period. The maximum drawdown measured just 0.4%, and the largest single monthly move was only 2.1%—numbers that contradict the apocalyptic headlines of that spring. Despite the pandemic event tag and real human suffering, property prices proved far more resilient than headlines suggested.
The scenario excels as a decision-training exercise precisely because outcomes reward process over prophecy. A 0.4% drawdown tests your tolerance for uncertainty: do you exit at the first sign of panic or hold your analytical framework? Six decision points force repeated calibration, and the two critical junctures demand you articulate why you act before seeing results. This replay teaches that volatility is not the same as risk, and that disciplined position management can navigate even historic shocks without catastrophic loss.
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