US 10-City Composite Historical Replay: 2018-12 to 2021-05
Replay 30 months across ten US cities from 2018-12 to 2021-05, with the index climbing 20.0% even after a pandemic-era drawdown of just 0.2%. Walk through each monthly bar, tackle six decision points including two critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2018-12 to 2021-05 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.2% with a 20.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.2%
- Max run-up
- +20.1%
- Largest single-month move
- +1.8%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Related scenarios
- US 20-City Composite Historical Replay: 2018-12 to 2021-052018 · Lv.3
- Seattle Historical Replay: 2018-12 to 2021-052018 · Lv.3
- Phoenix Historical Replay: 2018-12 to 2021-052018 · Lv.3
- San Francisco Historical Replay: 2018-12 to 2021-052018 · Lv.3
- San Diego Historical Replay: 2018-12 to 2021-052018 · Lv.3
- New York Historical Replay: 2018-12 to 2021-052018 · Lv.3
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay spans 30 monthly bars from 2018-12 to 2021-05, covering the late 2010s and early 2020s. Participants enter a US ten-city composite property market facing an unprecedented global shock. The stakes are high: how would your simulated capital respond when a once-in-a-generation pandemic collides with residential real estate? This is pure historical replay, not a live forecast.
The market closed at 227.87 and ultimately finished at 273.46, delivering a 20.0% total return. What makes this replay remarkable is not the gain but the resilience: the maximum drawdown measured just 0.2%, and the largest single monthly swing reached only 1.8%. Despite headlines of economic turmoil, the composite index barely flinched.
The scenario presents six decision points including two critical junctures, forcing participants to act under uncertainty without hindsight. The teaching here is procedural: how do you manage risk when volatility appears modest? The 0.2% drawdown tests whether your process would have held under genuine stress. Psychology matters as much as arithmetic—staying disciplined when headlines scream crisis and the data say otherwise.
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