Seattle Historical Replay: 2018-12 to 2021-05
Replay 30 monthly bars from 2018-12 to 2021-05 as Seattle property prices climbed 37.3% from 244.29 to 335.48. Walk through each authentic day, tackle six decision points with two critical, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2018-12 to 2021-05 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.9% with a 37.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.9%
- Max run-up
- +37.7%
- Largest single-month move
- +4.7%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scenario immerses participants in the Seattle residential property market across the 2018-12 to 2021-05 period, encompassing 30 monthly data points spanning the final months of the 2010s and the early pandemic era of the 2020s. What was at stake was the ability to navigate one of the most disruptive economic events in modern history while maintaining strategic discipline amid unprecedented uncertainty about what the data was signaling.
What happened across these 30 bars was a net price appreciation of 37.3%, moving from 244.29 to 335.48. The journey, however, was far calmer than the headlines suggested: the maximum drawdown measured just 0.9%, and the largest single monthly move reached 4.7%. Six decision points were embedded in the replay, with two deemed critical moments where positioning choices carried heightened consequence for the simulated portfolio.
The historical record offers a stark reminder that realized volatility and maximum loss often diverge sharply from perceived risk during a crisis. The replay trains participants to confront the psychological temptation to capitulate when daily news screams catastrophe, while the data tells a different story. Through six authentic choice moments including two pivotal ones, participants practice calibrating conviction against noise, sizing positions relative to drawdown tolerance, and maintaining a decision process that survives stress without abandoning sound principles. The goal is not to predict the outcome but to execute a repeatable, disciplined approach that can withstand environments where headlines and historical patterns diverge.
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