Cocoa Historical Replay: 2023-07 to 2023-10
Replay 64 daily bars of cocoa from 2023-07-24 to 2023-10-20, when prices climbed 8.1% to 3694 against an 11.8% drawdown. Step through 11 decision points, including 4 critical ones, and receive AI coach feedback on your simulated commodity choices.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2023-07 to 2023-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 88 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.8% and a 17.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.8%
- Max run-up
- +17.4%
- Duration
- 88 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.5%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scenario recreates the cocoa futures market during a period of dollar strength and yen weakness in mid-2023. Players step into 64 daily bars spanning from July 24 to October 20, navigating what appeared to be a policy-driven environment. The central challenge: whether to lean with the trend or position against it as the market showed signs of volatility. The tension between currency dynamics and commodity fundamentals created a training ground for disciplined decision-making.
Cocoa prices ultimately climbed 8.1% from 3417 to 3694 over this period. However, the journey was far from smooth—an 11.8% drawdown tested conviction, and the largest single-bar move of 4.5% could have easily shaken less disciplined traders. The scenario presents 11 decision points, with 4 deemed critical, forcing participants to act under uncertainty without hindsight knowledge of how events would unfold.
This replay teaches the value of process over prediction. Participants must grapple with managing risk through an 11.8% drawdown and the psychological strain of a 4.5% single-bar move. The lesson: define risk parameters before entering, maintain discipline when the market moves against you, and accept that outcomes are uncertain in the moment. The difference between success and failure often lies not in predicting the next move but in executing a sound framework under pressure. Use this historical episode to sharpen your judgment in ambiguous conditions.