Cocoa Historical Replay: 2018-07 to 2018-10
Cocoa plunged 17.2% from 2443 to 2024 across 64 daily bars in late 2018, with a 20.9% drawdown shaking softs markets. In this educational replay you step through each authentic trading day, face 11 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-07 to 2018-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 88 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 20.9% and a 16.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −20.9%
- Max run-up
- +16.0%
- Duration
- 88 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.8%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In mid-2018, the cocoa market faced mounting pressure as emerging-market currencies weakened and global trade tensions escalated. The commodity, priced in dollars, became particularly vulnerable to currency swings while demand fundamentals remained uncertain. This created a complex backdrop where traders had to navigate interconnected macro forces while managing directional exposure in a notoriously volatile softs market.
The replay period spanning July 9 to October 5, 2018 witnessed cocoa futures decline 17.2%, falling from 2443 to 2024 over 64 trading days. The market endured a maximum drawdown of 20.9%, and single sessions could swing as much as 4.8%, creating an environment where even defensive positioning faced meaningful headwinds.
This scenario sharpens decision-making under sustained adversity. The eleven decision points, four deemed critical, simulate the pressure of converting analysis into action. Participants learn to size positions to survive drawdowns, avoid revenge trading after large bars, and maintain process discipline when the tape confirms your thesis is wrong. The lesson is not about predicting the next move but building the resilience to execute consistently through volatility.