Coffee Historical Replay: 2018-08 to 2018-11
Re-live 66 daily bars of the 2018 coffee market from August 22 to November 23, when prices climbed 11.2% amid emerging-market turmoil. Make twelve decision points as the historical tape unfolds, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated trades.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2018-08 to 2018-11 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 93 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.6% and a 33.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.6%
- Max run-up
- +33.2%
- Duration
- 93 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.3%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The coffee market entered August 2018 against a backdrop of cascading emerging-market stress. Across developing economies, currency pressures and financial contagion fears dominated headlines, creating an environment of elevated uncertainty that rippled into commodity markets. US coffee futures, typically driven by supply fundamentals, found themselves swept up in broader risk-off sentiment, setting the stage for a 66-trading-day period where every bar mattered.
From August 22 to November 23, 2018, prices climbed from 96.4 to 107.15—an 11.2% advance that masked significant turbulence beneath the surface. The maximum drawdown reached 12.6%, meaning positions faced substantial interim losses before recovering. A single session produced a 5.3% move, the kind of volatility that stops out the careless and rewards the prepared. Twelve decision points were embedded in the replay, four of them critical, testing how learners read momentum and manage exposure across shifting tape.
This scenario sharpens decision training by confronting participants with realistic market friction: incomplete information, volatile swings, and the psychological weight of drawdowns. The 12.6% peak-to-trough decline reminds us that trending markets still punish conviction without discipline. The 5.3% single-bar move shows how swiftly narrative can shift, demanding clear pre-trade plans. Twelve decision points, particularly four critical ones, create a cadence where process matters more than prediction, and psychological resilience determines who captures value versus who surrenders it.