Cocoa Historical Replay: 2018-08 to 2018-11
Cocoa fell 10.8% from 2310 to 2061 across 66 daily bars in late 2018, with a 16.2% max drawdown testing every short-term trader. Replay the crisis day-by-day, face 12 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated educational environment.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2018-08 to 2018-11 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 93 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 16.2% and a 19.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −16.2%
- Max run-up
- +19.7%
- Duration
- 93 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.0%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The cocoa market in late summer 2018 faced mounting pressure as emerging market currencies weakened and risk sentiment deteriorated across global commodity markets. During this period, cocoa futures became a testing ground for traders navigating uncertainty, with prices reflecting both fundamental supply concerns and broader financial market stress. This replay scenario places participants directly in the heart of this four-month crisis window, demanding they respond to evolving conditions with discipline and analytical clarity.
Between August 22 and November 23, 2018, cocoa futures fell 10.8% from 2310 to 2061 across 66 daily bars, with a maximum drawdown of 16.2% that would have challenged even experienced traders' risk management protocols. The largest single-bar move of 5.0% underscores the kind of sudden volatility spikes that can trigger emotional decisions. Participants faced 12 decision points—4 deemed critical—requiring them to demonstrate consistent process under pressure rather than reactive trading.
This replay emphasizes that surviving market crises demands more than directional conviction; it requires rigorous adherence to risk parameters and emotional equilibrium when positions move against you. The 16.2% drawdown serves as a stark reminder that even correct market reads can test a trader's survival instincts. By confronting these historical decision points in a simulated educational environment, participants can develop the psychological resilience and systematic approach needed when navigating volatile commodity markets.