Cocoa Historical Replay: 2018-06 to 2018-09
Cocoa slid 14.5% from 2,568 to 2,195 across 68 days in 2018, with a 20.3% drawdown testing every short. Replay each daily bar, navigate 12 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated training environment.
68 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2018-06 to 2018-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 97 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 20.3% and a 16.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −20.3%
- Max run-up
- +16.0%
- Duration
- 97 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.6%
- Bars
- 68 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Cocoa entered the summer of 2018 as a soft commodity with well-established seasonal patterns, yet the months ahead would test even experienced traders. From June 20 to September 25, 2018, the market moved through 68 daily bars as conditions shifted, creating a demanding environment where every position required careful justification. Participants faced the task of navigating this volatile period while managing exposure through 12 distinct decision points, four of which would prove critical to outcome.
The price journey proved punishing: cocoa fell from 2,568 to 2,195, a decline of -14.5% over the 68 trading days. The maximum drawdown reached 20.3%, meaning any unhedged long position would have experienced losses far exceeding the headline number. The largest single-bar move of 4.6% demonstrated that volatility was not uniform but arrived in sharp bursts, punishing those who failed to adjust position size or stop levels in response to changing conditions.
This replay offers a masterclass in the difference between anticipating a move and surviving it. The 20.3% maximum drawdown illustrates how a correct directional call provides no protection against the psychological strain of sustained losses. The 4.6% single-bar spike reminds traders that volatility clusters, demanding dynamic risk management rather than static positions. Working through the 12 decision points, participants learn to separate process from outcome, understanding that sound decisions sometimes produce unfavorable results and that survival depends on position sizing, stop discipline, and emotional resilience. The goal is not to predict the next crash but to build the habits that allow a trader to remain in the game when one arrives.