Coffee Historical Replay: 2018-05 to 2018-08
Replay the 2018 coffee collapse across 62 daily bars, watching price fall from 115.5 to 108.75. Walk through 11 decision points with simulated capital, then receive an AI coach review of each call.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-05 to 2018-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 15.4% and a 9.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −15.4%
- Max run-up
- +9.6%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.5%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The commodity markets in the late spring and summer of 2018 presented traders with a challenging environment as soft commodities faced renewed pressure. Coffee, a staple of the softs sector, found itself caught in a period of heightened volatility that would test the skills of even seasoned market participants. Over the 62 daily bars spanning from May 9 to August 6, 2018, the market delivered a series of difficult decisions that separated disciplined traders from those reacting to short-term price swings.
The price trajectory told a clear story of deterioration. From an opening level of 115.5, coffee prices ultimately settled at 108.75, representing a decline of -5.8%. However, the journey was far more turbulent than the final percentage suggests. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 15.4%, meaning traders who entered positions at higher levels saw substantially larger losses before any recovery. The largest single-day move of 5.5% highlighted the kind of intraday spikes that can quickly erode capital or trigger emotional decision-making. With 11 total decision points including 4 critical moments, this replay forces participants to confront the reality that sustained drawdowns require both psychological resilience and sound risk management protocols.
The 2018 coffee collapse provides a valuable educational framework for examining decision-making under adverse conditions. Managing through a -5.8% loss while facing a potential 15.4% drawdown demands more than just analytical skill—it requires emotional discipline and the ability to stick to predefined risk parameters. Each of the 11 decision points offers a chance to assess whether you react impulsively to price movements or maintain a consistent strategic approach. This historical scenario emphasizes that effective trading is not about predicting every market shift, but about having robust processes that sustain you through periods of significant volatility.