Cotton Historical Replay: 2017-11 to 2018-05
Cotton rallied 23.0% across 122 daily bars from November 2017 to May 2018, testing traders with a 9.6% drawdown and a 3.8% single-day swing. Replay the historical session day by day, face 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review using simulated capital only.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2017-11 to 2018-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 9.6% and a 25.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −9.6%
- Max run-up
- +25.5%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.8%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In late 2017, dollar weakness and rising commodity inflation set the tone across soft markets. Cotton, a dollar-sensitive agricultural commodity, entered a five-month historical window where fundamental forces—currency shifts and inflation expectations—would collide with the raw mechanics of daily price action. For traders replaying this era, the stakes were clear: capture directional momentum while surviving the inevitable turbulence that commodity markets impose.
Over 122 daily bars spanning November 2017 to May 2018, cotton climbed from 68.81 to 84.62, a 23.0% advance. The journey, however, was far from linear—a 9.6% maximum drawdown tested conviction, and the 3.8% single-day swing reminded participants that volatility is the price of admission in soft commodities. The market presented 21 decision points across this span, 7 of which the replay labels critical, demanding traders either commit or retreat with conviction each time the chart shifted.
This replay is not about predicting the outcome—it is about experiencing the process. Managing a 9.6% drawdown while holding a long bias teaches position sizing and emotional discipline. Reacting to a 3.8% single-bar shock tests whether a trader follows a rule-based plan or acts on impulse. With 7 critical junctures compressed into 122 days, the scenario compresses months of learning into a single focused session, making it a rigorous training ground for any trader seeking to sharpen decision-making under commodity-market pressure.