Wheat Historical Replay: 2024-11 to 2025-02
Replay 62 days of wheat trading from late 2024 through early 2025, capturing a 6.4% close-to-close move. You make decisions at 11 points across simulated sessions, then receive an AI coach review.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2024-11 to 2025-02 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 94 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 4.3% and a 14.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −4.3%
- Max run-up
- +14.9%
- Duration
- 94 days
- Largest single-day move
- +4.5%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Wheat markets entering late 2024 faced a pivotal moment following the US presidential election outcome. Policy uncertainty, currency dynamics, and seasonal supply factors created a complex backdrop for grain traders. The period from late November through February would test participants' ability to navigate a 6.4% directional move while managing volatility across 62 trading sessions.
From the opening close of 544.25 on November 22, wheat prices climbed to 579 by late February, delivering a 6.4% close-to-close return. The journey included a maximum drawdown of 4.3% and a largest single-bar move of 4.5%, highlighting moments of sharp intraday dislocation. Eleven decision points punctuated the period, with four deemed critical to the narrative trajectory.
This replay sharpens risk calibration by forcing participants to quantify exposure during a 4.3% peak-to-trough correction. The 4.5% single-bar volatility spikes underscore the importance of position sizing before major announcements. Psychological discipline matters most when momentum shifts rapidly across multiple weeks, demanding participants reassess thesis rather than anchor to initial entry points. These lessons translate directly to real-market decision-making under uncertainty.
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