Soybean Historical Replay: 2024-07 to 2025-01
Replay 126 daily bars of soybean futures from July 2024 to January 2025, tracking a 5.1% slide and a 16.0% drawdown. Step through 22 decision points, branch the scenario with your own calls, and receive an AI coach review in a simulated educational setting.
126 daily bars · 22 decision points · 2024-07 to 2025-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 16.0% and a 13.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −16.0%
- Max run-up
- +13.5%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.4%
- Bars
- 126 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 22
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Soybean futures entered a turbulent six-month run from mid-July 2024, navigating a landscape reshaped by shifting monetary policy and a weaker US dollar. The September 2024 Federal Reserve rate cut injected fresh uncertainty into agricultural markets, challenging traders to interpret how lower borrowing costs and currency dynamics would ripple through grain pricing. Against this backdrop, soybean participants faced the task of positioning through a period where policy signals and macroeconomic forces were in constant tension.
The replay captures 126 daily bars that ultimately saw soybean close at 1042.75, down 5.1% from the 1098.5 opening level. The journey proved more volatile than the net decline suggests: a maximum drawdown of 16.0% tested risk discipline, while the largest single-bar move of 3.4% reminded participants that intraday spikes can arrive without warning. Traders confronted 22 decision points across the scenario, with 8 deemed critical junctions where directional conviction and risk management were simultaneously required.
For decision training, the scenario illuminates how macroeconomic policy cycles can overwhelm supply-demand fundamentals in the short term. Participants learn to separate noise from signal, manage exposure during extended drawdowns, and avoid doubling down on positions that contradict emerging macro trends. The psychological dimension is equally demanding: staying systematic when a 16.0% peak-to-trough slide tests conviction, and resisting the urge to act on single-bar volatility rather than evolving market structure. Navigating 22 decision points—8 of them pivotal—builds the habits of disciplined review and adaptive thinking that distinguish prepared traders from reactive ones.