Soybean Historical Replay: 2024-11 to 2025-05
Replay 122 daily bars of US soybean price action from November 2024 through May 2025, capturing a 9.1% drawdown and a 3.4% single-day swing tied to trade policy. You step through each session, respond to 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your reasoning in a simulated, educational setting.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2024-11 to 2025-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 179 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 9.1% and a 12.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −9.1%
- Max run-up
- +12.9%
- Duration
- 179 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.4%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US soybean market entered a tense five-month window from November 2024 through May 2025, a period when trade policy uncertainty created sustained ambiguity for agricultural commodity traders. This stretch saw 122 daily bars of price action play out against a backdrop of tariff announcements and dollar volatility, placing participants in the 2020s grain markets in reactive mode. Navigating such an environment required constant recalibration of directional assumptions.
Over the full data span from mid-November 2024 to mid-May 2025, soybean prices advanced 6.9%, closing at 1067.25 from an opening of 998.5. Yet this modest headline return concealed a turbulent journey: the market absorbed a maximum drawdown of 9.1% and endured a single-day swing of 3.4% at its most volatile point. The price trajectory was far from a smooth incline, instead featuring sharp reversals and policy-driven momentum shifts that tested both timing and conviction.
For decision training, the scenario distills into three core disciplines: process discipline under uncertainty, rigorous risk calibration, and psychological resilience when outcomes deviate from expectations. With 21 decision points embedded across 7 critical junctures, participants practice the cadence of daily reassessment without the benefit of hindsight. The educational setting deliberately strips away profit pressure, letting learners focus on how they frame information, size positions relative to unknown outcomes, and manage the emotional friction of drawdowns that feel personal in real time.
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