Soybean Meal Historical Replay: 2018-05 to 2018-08
Relive 62 trading days as US soybean meal dropped 15.2% from 389.2 to 330 between May and August 2018. In this educational market replay, you step through each session, face 11 decision points with 4 critical, and receive an AI coach review—simulated capital only.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-05 to 2018-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 16.3% and a 4.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −16.3%
- Max run-up
- +4.4%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.5%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US soybean meal market entered a period of profound uncertainty in May 2018, as trade tensions between the United States and China began to reshape global agricultural commodity flows. Over 62 trading sessions spanning from May 9 to August 6, 2018, traders and market participants faced a rapidly evolving landscape where traditional supply-demand models were being tested by geopolitical forces. The decade of the 2010s was witnessing how trade policy could override typical market mechanics, making this period a critical case study in commodities trading under external shocks.
What unfolded was a sustained downward pressure on prices. Soybean meal fell from 389.2 to 330, a decline of -15.2%, with a maximum drawdown of 16.3% tested during the worst stretch. The largest single trading day move reached 3.5%, illustrating how volatility clustered around key news events. Throughout these 62 daily bars, traders encountered 11 decision points, with 4 deemed critical moments that could have significantly altered outcomes. The price action was not a straight line down but rather a series of false breakouts and recovery attempts that tested discipline.
This historical replay offers a rigorous training ground for developing decision-making frameworks under uncertainty. Participants must navigate 11 distinct choice moments, including 4 critical junctures, while managing the psychological strain of a 16.3% peak-to-trough decline. The scenario demands disciplined risk management, clear process adherence, and emotional control when facing adverse moves. The 3.5% single-day volatility spikes serve as reminders that tail risks can materialize suddenly, making preparation and mental resilience as essential as technical analysis. This educational exercise, conducted with simulated capital only, provides a safe environment to learn from history without financial exposure.