Rough Rice Historical Replay: 2018-05 to 2018-08
Rough rice slid from $12.45 to $11.27 over 62 daily bars ending August 2018, a 9.5% drop shadowed by trade-war tensions. Replay the session-by-session moves, tackle 11 decision points including 4 critical ones, and get an AI coach review—simulated capital, purely educational.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-05 to 2018-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.8% and a 16.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.8%
- Max run-up
- +16.5%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- −6.5%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Rough rice futures on the U.S. market entered the summer of 2018 under a cloud of escalating trade‑war rhetoric. From early May through early August, traders faced a 62‑bar window that placed the grain contract at the center of geopolitical risk, where every policy tweet could swing a market already sensitive to supply‑demand shifts. The session was framed as a decision‑training replay, with 11 points at which participants had to choose a position, four of them deemed critical because they coincided with the sharpest price reversals.
The contract opened at $12.45 and closed at $11.27, a decline of 9.5% over the period. The price path was not a smooth slide; it experienced a maximum drawdown of 12.8% and a single‑bar move as large as 6.5%—a clear signal of heightened volatility amid news headlines. Participants were required to navigate these swings through the 11 decision points, with the four critical moments demanding precise entry, exit, or risk‑management actions to avoid compounding losses.
This replay underscores three core lessons for traders: first, a disciplined process is essential when geopolitical headlines can override fundamentals; second, risk management must account for drawdowns beyond the obvious percentage move, as the 12.8% peak‑to‑trough loss shows; and third, psychology plays a decisive role—reacting to a 6.5% intraday swing without a pre‑defined plan often leads to over‑trading. By confronting these pressures in a simulated environment, learners can sharpen their decision‑making and emotional resilience for real‑world market turbulence.