Live Cattle Historical Replay: 2018-05 to 2018-08
Replay the 2018 US live cattle market across 62 daily bars spanning a 14.5% close-to-close swing and a steep 20.3% drawdown as the trade war erupted. Step through each session, tackle 11 decision points including 4 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-05 to 2018-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 89 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 20.3% and a 30.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −20.3%
- Max run-up
- +30.4%
- Duration
- 89 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.1%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the spring of 2018, the US live cattle market entered a period of profound uncertainty as trade tensions between Washington and Beijing escalated into a full-blown trade war. Live cattle futures, sensitive to both domestic supply dynamics and export demand, faced a complex landscape of shifting tariffs and retaliatory measures. This replay spans 62 daily bars from May to August, capturing a market trying to price in geopolitical risk while navigating normal seasonal patterns.
The close-to-close movement of 14.5% masked a turbulent internal journey. The market experienced a steep 20.3% drawdown at its worst, and a single session saw a 6.1% move that could have wiped out weeks of careful position management. Volatility was not symmetrical; rapid swings in either direction demanded constant reassessment of exposure and stop-loss discipline.
This scenario presents traders with 11 decision points, including 4 critical moments where conviction and timing mattered most. The core training value lies in maintaining a disciplined process when headlines drive emotion, managing risk through the deepest drawdowns, and understanding that geopolitical uncertainty creates both danger and opportunity. Success here is not about predicting trade war outcomes but about executing a sound system under pressure.