Iron Ore Historical Replay: 2022-01 to 2022-06
Replay 84 daily bars from January to June 2022 as iron ore surged 19.9% amid historic supply shocks. Step through each decision point, weigh your judgment, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated trades.
84 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2022-01 to 2022-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 131 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 17.9% and a 36.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −17.9%
- Max run-up
- +36.1%
- Duration
- 131 days
- Largest single-day move
- −10.0%
- Bars
- 84 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the opening weeks of 2022, iron ore stood at the crossroads of geopolitics and commodity markets. The Russia-Ukraine conflict was accelerating into a full-scale crisis, threatening to disrupt established supply chains that underpinned global steel production. Traders and analysts faced a deeply uncertain landscape: sanctions, shipping disruptions, and shifting demand signals from key consuming nations created a fog of war that made directional positioning extraordinarily difficult. The 84-bar daily replay spanning January 21 to June 1 captures this volatile chapter in its entirety.
The price trajectory from 755.5 to 905.5 represents a 19.9% advance, yet this headline figure conceals a turbulent journey. A maximum drawdown of 17.9% tested conviction at every turn, while the largest single-bar move of 10.0% demanded split-second risk management. Fifteen distinct decision points punctuate the replay, five of which are designated critical — moments where positioning and capital allocation carried outsized consequences for portfolio outcomes. The period rewards neither passive holding nor reactive trading; it punishes those who fail to reconcile directional conviction with the volatility reality of a supply-shocked market.
This replay serves as a laboratory for examining decision process under uncertainty. Participants must navigate the tension between geopolitical analysis and price action discipline, managing drawdown risk while remaining open to trending opportunities. The 10.0% single-bar episodes strip away the comfort of smooth assumptions, forcing honest reckoning with position sizing and stop-loss philosophy. Five critical nodes concentrate the learning: each represents a point where prevailing consensus diverged from the actual path, offering fertile ground for examining cognitive biases and the psychology of conviction under fire.
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