Hot-rolled Coil Historical Replay: 2022-01 to 2022-06
Replay 84 daily bars of Russian hot-rolled coil from 2022-01-21 to 2022-06-01, navigating a 14.3% drawdown across 15 decision points. Step into each authentic trading day, confront 5 critical choices, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated decisions.
84 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2022-01 to 2022-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 131 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 14.3% and a 12.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −14.3%
- Max run-up
- +12.7%
- Duration
- 131 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.7%
- Bars
- 84 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the opening weeks of 2022, Russian hot-rolled coil markets faced unprecedented disruption as geopolitical tensions escalated into open conflict. The replay covers 84 daily bars from 2022-01-21 to 2022-06-01, placing traders directly into the authentic chaos of supply chain fractures, sanctions rhetoric, and commodity market convulsions. For participants in this scenario, the stakes were clear: navigate an environment where traditional forecasting models offered little guidance and every decision carried amplified consequence.
What unfolded was a study in market irony. The close price moved from 4822 to 4816, a seemingly modest -0.1% change over five months. Yet this headline number concealed a turbulent journey. The market experienced a max drawdown of 14.3% and its largest single-bar move reached 3.7%, creating moments of acute stress. Across the replay, traders confronted 15 decision points, with 5 critical junctures demanding the most consequential choices. The real story lay not in the endpoint but in surviving the volatility between.
This replay distills essential lessons in process discipline under geopolitical uncertainty. Managing a 14.3% drawdown tests both risk parameters and psychological resilience; the temptation to exit at the worst moment must be resisted through systematic reasoning. The disconnect between the benign 0.1% net change and the violent intermediate swings illustrates why outcome-based judgment misses the mark. For decision training, the value resides in experiencing the pressure of 5 critical moments, learning to separate noise from signal, and building the emotional armor that no chart can teach.
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