Coke Historical Replay: 2021-09 to 2022-01
Coke futures fell 5.5% from 3364.5 to 3178.5 between 2021-09-29 and 2022-01-10, while suffering a 41.1% drawdown. Replay 68 daily bars, navigate 12 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated educational scenario.
68 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2021-09 to 2022-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 103 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 41.1% and a 30.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −41.1%
- Max run-up
- +30.8%
- Duration
- 103 days
- Largest single-day move
- −9.5%
- Bars
- 68 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
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- Hot-rolled Coil Historical Replay: 2021-09 to 2022-012021 · Lv.4
- Iron Ore Historical Replay: 2021-09 to 2022-012021 · Lv.3
- Rebar Historical Replay: 2021-09 to 2022-012021 · Lv.4
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scenario captures coking coal futures at a pivotal moment in late 2021, as inflationary pressures mounted and the Federal Reserve signaled a shift toward tighter policy. The 2020s era presented commodity traders with a complex landscape where dollar strength, supply constraints, and shifting monetary expectations converged. Participants entered a simulated environment designed to test their ability to navigate uncertainty across 68 daily bars without knowing how the macro narrative would unfold.
The price action delivered a sobering lesson in volatility: coking coal fell 5.5% from 3364.5 to 3178.5 over the replay period, yet the journey was far more turbulent than the net figure suggests. The maximum drawdown reached 41.1%, meaning positions faced paper losses far exceeding the final outcome. A single day produced a 9.5% move, and participants confronted 12 decision points, four deemed critical, requiring them to act under pressure without the benefit of hindsight.
This replay sharpens decision-making by exposing the psychological strain of drawdown management. A 41.1% peak-to-trough decline tests conviction; a 9.5% single-bar swing tests discipline. The gap between net outcome and intraperiod pain highlights why process matters more than prediction. Trainees learn that surviving volatility requires defined risk parameters, emotional control, and acceptance that large drawdowns can occur even when the final result is modest—making this a valuable training ground for real market resilience.
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